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overflight-risk

4 posts tagged “overflight-risk”.

BlogJul 20, 2026

Aviation Conflict-Event Tempo, July 2026: The Reversion Reverted

Iran's aviation conflict-event tempo did not stay reverted. It fell to about 5% of all aviation-tagged conflict events by early July, then re-escalated to a 14.4% peak in the week of 13 July — higher than the 13.5% June spike. Last month's story was a spike that reverted; this month it is a reversion that reverted.

airspace-risk conflict-zone overflight-risk9 min read

BlogJul 6, 2026

Aviation Conflict-Event Tempo, June–July 2026: The Spike Reverted, the Footprint Did Not

The June 2026 conflict-event spike over Iranian airspace is gone, but the airspace risk it created is not. Iran's share of aviation conflict events fell from a 13.5% June peak back to about 5% by early July — yet AeroVigil's contested-airspace classifications kept compounding, peaking two weeks after the tempo.

airspace-risk conflict-zone overflight-risk8 min read

BlogJun 22, 2026

Iran Airspace Event Tempo, June 2026: A Mid-Month Spike and a Persistent Avoidance Footprint

Conflict-event tempo over Iranian airspace nearly doubled in a single week in June 2026, then reverted — but AeroVigil's contested-airspace classifications kept compounding long after the headlines faded, revealing a persistent overflight-risk footprint that matters more to dispatchers than the spike itself.

iran overflight-risk conflict-zone7 min read

BlogJun 6, 2026

Conflict Zone & Overflight Risk: The Complete Guide

Open airspace is not safe airspace — a core lesson from MH17 and PS752. This guide breaks down how structured conflict-zone overflight risk assessments work in practice, from SAM-system threat mapping and GNSS interference to regulatory prohibitions, insurance pressure, and repeatable decision workflows.

overflight-risk conflict zone airspace risk11 min read