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Iran

6 posts on Iran.

BlogAug 19, 2026

Overflight Traffic Recovery, June–August 2026: The Fleet Returns to Tehran

Overflight traffic is flooding back into contested Middle East airspace. In AeroVigil's own flight-traffic sampling, the Tehran FIR averaged 52.8 aircraft per sampled hour in the week of 10 August 2026 — roughly six times its early-June low of 8.7, and its strongest reading since the June escalation.

Airspace Risk Overflight Risk Trend Analysis8 min read

BlogAug 3, 2026

Aviation Conflict-Event Tempo, July 2026: Iran's Peak Rolls Over, the Signal Broadens

Iran's aviation conflict-event tempo has crested — its share of aviation-tagged conflict events peaked at 14.3% in mid-July, then fell to 7.1% by the week of 27 July. But AeroVigil's own armed-conflict classification signal did not fall with it; it rose, and broadened across more theatres.

Airspace Risk Conflict Zone Iran10 min read

BlogJul 20, 2026

Aviation Conflict-Event Tempo, July 2026: The Reversion Reverted

Iran's aviation conflict-event tempo did not stay reverted. It fell to about 5% of all aviation-tagged conflict events by early July, then re-escalated to a 14.4% peak in the week of 13 July — higher than the 13.5% June spike. Last month's story was a spike that reverted; this month it is a reversion that reverted.

Airspace Risk Conflict Zone Iran9 min read

BlogJul 7, 2026

Tehran FIR on High Alert: Sustained Military Air Activity and Civilian Overflight Risk in Iranian Airspace

Multiple military aircraft from several nations have been detected transiting Tehran FIR in recent days, coinciding with an active Iran-Israel armed conflict indicator. Operators with routes through Iranian airspace should reassess exposure urgently.

Conflict Zone Iran Middle East5 min read

BlogJul 6, 2026

Aviation Conflict-Event Tempo, June–July 2026: The Spike Reverted, the Footprint Did Not

The June 2026 conflict-event spike over Iranian airspace is gone, but the airspace risk it created is not. Iran's share of aviation conflict events fell from a 13.5% June peak back to about 5% by early July — yet AeroVigil's contested-airspace classifications kept compounding, peaking two weeks after the tempo.

Airspace Risk Conflict Zone Iran8 min read

BlogJun 22, 2026

Iran Airspace Event Tempo, June 2026: A Mid-Month Spike and a Persistent Avoidance Footprint

Conflict-event tempo over Iranian airspace nearly doubled in a single week in June 2026, then reverted — but AeroVigil's contested-airspace classifications kept compounding long after the headlines faded, revealing a persistent overflight-risk footprint that matters more to dispatchers than the spike itself.

Airspace Risk Conflict Zone Iran7 min read