BlogJul 6, 2026
Aviation Conflict-Event Tempo, June–July 2026: The Spike Reverted, the Footprint Did Not
The June 2026 conflict-event spike over Iranian airspace is gone, but the airspace risk it created is not. Iran's share of aviation conflict events fell from a 13.5% June peak back to about 5% by early July — yet AeroVigil's contested-airspace classifications kept compounding, peaking two weeks after the tempo.