AeroVigil
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Conflict Zone

15 posts on Conflict Zone.

BlogAug 3, 2026

Aviation Conflict-Event Tempo, July 2026: Iran's Peak Rolls Over, the Signal Broadens

Iran's aviation conflict-event tempo has crested — its share of aviation-tagged conflict events peaked at 14.3% in mid-July, then fell to 7.1% by the week of 27 July. But AeroVigil's own armed-conflict classification signal did not fall with it; it rose, and broadened across more theatres.

Airspace RiskConflict ZoneIran10 min read
BlogJul 20, 2026

Aviation Conflict-Event Tempo, July 2026: The Reversion Reverted

Iran's aviation conflict-event tempo did not stay reverted. It fell to about 5% of all aviation-tagged conflict events by early July, then re-escalated to a 14.4% peak in the week of 13 July — higher than the 13.5% June spike. Last month's story was a spike that reverted; this month it is a reversion that reverted.

Airspace RiskConflict ZoneIran9 min read
BlogJul 14, 2026

Conflict-Zone Overflight Risk for Business Aviation

Conflict-zone overflight risk is sharper for business aviation than for scheduled airlines: a charter or corporate flight department routes a single tail across many FIRs on short notice. The same bulletin a network carrier absorbs with a standing reroute can strand a bizjet trip the night before departure.

Airspace RiskBusiness AviationConflict Zone5 min read
BlogJul 7, 2026

Tehran FIR on High Alert: Sustained Military Air Activity and Civilian Overflight Risk in Iranian Airspace

Multiple military aircraft from several nations have been detected transiting Tehran FIR in recent days, coinciding with an active Iran-Israel armed conflict indicator. Operators with routes through Iranian airspace should reassess exposure urgently.

Conflict ZoneIranMiddle East5 min read
BlogJul 7, 2026

Ukraine and Russia FIR Military Activity: NATO and Allied Aircraft Intensify Presence as Kyiv-Kursk Conflict Continues

NATO surveillance platforms, allied military transports, and unidentified military aircraft have been detected inside Kyiv FIR repeatedly in the past week, as active armed conflict indicators for both Ukraine and Russian Kursk Oblast remain confirmed.

Conflict ZoneGeopolitical RiskGNSS Interference4 min read
BlogJul 7, 2026

Delta Flight 1076 Struck by Firework on Approach to Chicago Midway: A Reminder of Low-Altitude External Threat to Aircraft

A Delta Air Lines Airbus A319 was struck by a firework while on final approach to Chicago Midway Airport on 4 July, highlighting the underappreciated risk that improvised pyrotechnics and uncontrolled ground-launched projectiles pose to aircraft in terminal phases.

Airport SecurityConflict Zone5 min read
BlogJul 6, 2026

Aviation Conflict-Event Tempo, June–July 2026: The Spike Reverted, the Footprint Did Not

The June 2026 conflict-event spike over Iranian airspace is gone, but the airspace risk it created is not. Iran's share of aviation conflict events fell from a 13.5% June peak back to about 5% by early July — yet AeroVigil's contested-airspace classifications kept compounding, peaking two weeks after the tempo.

Airspace RiskConflict ZoneIran8 min read
BlogJun 22, 2026

Iran Airspace Event Tempo, June 2026: A Mid-Month Spike and a Persistent Avoidance Footprint

Conflict-event tempo over Iranian airspace nearly doubled in a single week in June 2026, then reverted — but AeroVigil's contested-airspace classifications kept compounding long after the headlines faded, revealing a persistent overflight-risk footprint that matters more to dispatchers than the spike itself.

Airspace RiskConflict ZoneIran7 min read
BlogJun 6, 2026

Conflict Zone & Overflight Risk: The Complete Guide

Open airspace is not safe airspace — a core lesson from MH17 and PS752. This guide breaks down how structured conflict-zone overflight risk assessments work in practice, from SAM-system threat mapping and GNSS interference to regulatory prohibitions, insurance pressure, and repeatable decision workflows.

Airspace RiskConflict ZoneGNSS Interference11 min read
BlogJun 5, 2026

What Is Aviation Security? The Complete Guide

Aviation security covers far more than checkpoint screening — from conflict-zone overflight and GNSS spoofing to insider threats and cargo supply-chain controls. This guide maps the full scope, the international framework, and how airlines assess and manage security risk today.

AVSEC ComplianceConflict ZoneGNSS Interference11 min read
BlogJun 4, 2026

Middle East and North Africa Overflight Risk: GNSS Jamming, Military Activity, and Airspace Closures in 2026

Sustained GNSS jamming below FL320, SAM activity over Yemen, and near-zero ADS-B traffic across six MENA FIRs signal a materially elevated threat environment in 2026. Operators must treat active NOTAMs as hard avoidance zones and validate inertial navigation redundancy before any regional operation.

Airspace RiskConflict ZoneGNSS Interference5 min read
BlogJun 4, 2026

Military Aircraft Activity Surge in Ukraine Airspace Despite Ongoing Conflict Risk

ADS-B surveillance has detected multiple military transport and logistics aircraft inside Ukraine's Kyiv FIR, confirming the airspace remains operationally active and contested. Civil overflight is not viable for standard commercial operations without government coordination, dedicated corridor approval, and…

ADS-BAirspace RiskConflict Zone3 min read
BlogJun 4, 2026

Widespread Airspace Avoidance Across Middle East, North Africa, and Russia FIRs Reflects Persistent Regional Risk

Sustained ADS-B surveillance reveals near-zero commercial overflight across Yemen, Iraq, Syria, Sudan, and adjacent FIRs — operators are voluntarily excluding these regions based on air-defense activity, drone proliferation, ATC degradation, and insurance exposure, not waiting for formal airspace closures.

ADS-BAirport SecurityAirspace Risk4 min read
BlogJun 4, 2026

Cairo FIR Military Activity and Suez Region Risk: Implications for North Africa and Red Sea Overflight

Active military operations confirmed inside Egypt's Cairo FIR—including surveillance aircraft and air-defense readiness—raise the operational risk profile for carriers transiting Red Sea, Suez, and Mediterranean corridors.

Airspace RiskConflict ZoneGeopolitical Risk4 min read
BlogMay 31, 2026

What Is Conflict Zone Airspace Risk? Overflight Risk Explained

Conflict zone airspace risk is the danger civil aircraft face when flying over or near areas of armed conflict — from surface-to-air missiles to GPS jamming. Here is how the risk arises, who warns about it, and how operators decide.

Airspace RiskConflict ZoneGNSS Interference8 min read